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Razorbak86

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Bronco Production: [Data Incoming] vehicles. Production (YTD): [____] vehicles.
  • April 2022 production represents a [_____] from March 2022.
The entire April 2022 Sales Report, including production and inventory numbers, is attached below.
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broncoj11

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yabsquatch

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Using easy numbers... if they had 200k reservations+orders, and they produced (not sold/delivered) 54,562 last year, plus the 48,590 produced YTD... thats ~100k produced total. And they are averaging ~12k production per month.

So in the 7 production months remaining of the year for MY21/22 models (excluding Dec for switch over to My23)... they probably will produce 7x12k = 84k more vehicles this year. Bringing the total to 180-190k of the original 200k rez/orders.

So my guess is around at least 20k (maybe more) will get kicked to MY23.

Delivery of these within the year is a different story.
 

MNBigfoot

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Bronco and Bronco sport in a dead heat in sales, I would've never guessed that.
 
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Updated with production stats:

  • Bronco Production: 12,237 vehicles. Production (YTD): 48,590 vehicles.
    • April 2022 production represents a -17.5% decrease from March 2022.
 

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broncoj11

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Bronco and Bronco sport in a dead heat in sales, I would've never guessed that.
I think that’s solely bc of restraints with big bronco
 

Oldred57

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That means roughly 103,152 have been built. Wonder how many more they have to go on original reservations.
 

GaryB2220

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Using easy numbers... if they had 200k reservations+orders, and they produced (not sold/delivered) 54,562 last year, plus the 48,590 produced YTD... thats ~100k produced total. And they are averaging ~12k production per month.

So in the 7 production months remaining of the year for MY21/22 models (excluding Dec for switch over to My23)... they probably will produce 7x12k = 84k more vehicles this year. Bringing the total to 180-190k of the original 200k rez/orders.

So my guess is around at least 20k (maybe more) will get kicked to MY23.

Delivery of these within the year is a different story.
might be wasted math. we've already learned that an unknown portion of what was made so far went straight into dealer stock and non-reservation holder buyers. People right off the street without reservations taking delivery before reservation holders get scheduled.
 

yabsquatch

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might be wasted math. we've already learned that an unknown portion of what was made so far went straight into dealer stock and non-reservation holder buyers. People right off the street without reservations taking delivery before reservation holders get scheduled.
Just was talking production numbers. Not sales or delivery.
 

GaryB2220

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Just was talking production numbers. Not sales or delivery.
Still assumes that all those broncos produced are going towards only reservations, which they aren't. I think the number of people going into 900 days of waiting without a Vin is going to be higher than 10%
 

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BenderSquatch

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Release of the production numbers usually lags a few days. We'll probably never learn the MY21/MY22 balance until it no longer matters and we're on 8G.

Trying to capture all these reports, so far by my tally there has been 90,915 produced through March '22 (includes ~750 Jan '21- Apr'21), and 71,711 sold through Apr '22
The produce 54k in 2021, so close to 103k Broncos produced and 71k-ish sales in North America https://www.bronco6g.com/forum/threads/📈-bronco-december-2021-sales-production-numbers-9-168-sold-10-851-produced.32532/
 

DorlanJ

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I think you're also forgetting those who had multiple reservations. I would say the 200K+ reservation number isn't something we should base it off of either.

might be wasted math. we've already learned that an unknown portion of what was made so far went straight into dealer stock and non-reservation holder buyers. People right off the street without reservations taking delivery before reservation holders get scheduled.
 

yabsquatch

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I think you're also forgetting those who had multiple reservations. I would say the 200K+ reservation number isn't something we should base it off of either.
Yeah very fair point! Was just doing a little rough forecast, that's all. I think its safe to assume Ford is gonna build every vehicle tied to an order (or rez converted to order) regardless of who ends up taking delivery. That 200k number which was thrown out is the only thing we don't know. The other #s I was using were from the production reports.
 

mpeugeot

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Still there are plenty of day 1 reservation holders who don't have a Bronco...

Sorry, but that is a completely crappy situation. I really feel for those who have not seen their Bronco despite a reservation that was never 99'd.
 

rguest3

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There really seems to be no rhyme or reason to any of it.

My Day 1 reservation converted to a MY22 10/21. Delivered 1/22.

Can we expect the same in the future? All remaining orders as of 10/22 will convert to a MY23?
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