🛠 11/29/21 Build Week Group

[EL Señor Bronco]

Congrats! Looks like my guesstimation was way off and this can only mean that the workers at MAP are going full send. Hopefully that stays like that for a long time.

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[skhubbard93]

That makes a lot more sense in light of the fact that about half of the 11/24s still show no mods on the BW 11/22 spreadsheet. Which would point back to @Papa Smurf having a chance at seeing his mods pop possibly this evening.

 

[skhubbard93]

We all know this data is "fuzzy" at-best. Hell, we know that even the Ford data it comes from can be a bit fuzzy. Some people see their own builds pop or get their built email and drop out. Some people update other people's data - accidentally, I assume. The end-of-year tracker has these problems as well, plus additional issues caused by interpretation, misunderstandings and simple failure to read (I've had clear MY22s submit responses, for example).

So, we aren't going to get anything "perfect", but we can still glean some trends. If we see 18 out of 20 recent records showing mods popped, then we can reasonably infer that a) something may have happened with the other two or else those users aren't active, and b) builds immediately after the last of those 18 are likely to pop next. Honestly, that's one thing that surprised me so much about your built announcement this morning, that a lot of 11/24s were still showing no mods popped.

It isn't perfect; it is what it is. And it is a black box. All we can hope for is to make intelligent, informed inferences and guesses. But I think we're not doing so badly at that.

 

[dcaero]

193 out of 1804 on 12/1, nothing yet...

 

[Wamland]

11/24 mods are still poppin

 

[skhubbard93]

193 out of 1804 on 12/1, nothing yet...

11/24s seem to be on ~540/880 right now.

 

[Aguelian]

Interesting. I noticed yesterday that the date on the bottom of my sticker changed to 11/30.

 

[skhubbard93]

Interesting. I noticed yesterday that the date on the bottom of my sticker changed to 11/30.

Check for changes to various bits on your sticker. On mine, it changed the destination, MIC number (not sure what that is), transportation mode and other details including the "X / Y" numbers.

 

[dcaero]

9 out of 1804, our next @Wamland is #170

 

[Wamland]

still not up to 11/29 yet but 11/24 is almost done
" No email, no picture but mods popped!! 11/24 blend, 706/880."

 

[dcaero]

Ah okay, so your built email was premature then. It had me jazzed up, but I'll otherwise keep busy today and fingers crossed for either modules or built email upon waking up tomorrow morning.

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