No, they haven't. But using the reservation data that has been collected on this site, you can pretty much figure it out. 5k is more than enough date to come up with a trend. Again, you may need to adjust down a bit, bc you likely have a higher concentration of first few day reservations on this forum just because of who the members are.Ford has not given us a breakdown of reservations per day. Let's say 50k reservations were made on July 15, and the plant can produce 15k a month. That would mean reservations made the morning of July 15th would be built in May, and evening reservations built in July or August.
We just don't know. There are too many variables we don't have solid answers on. I feel like a lot of people who reserved in July are going to be disappointed when they find out hey are not eligible to order until March or later.
I haven't looked at it in a while, but I do remember when I did, it was a little under 60% of all reservations were within the first 3 days. The other 40% was spread out between 7/16 & current date.
For the most part, you can take those numbers and apply them to the total, and it should get you within the ballpark.
EDIT: just went and looked again. It's worse than I thought, lol.
5898 reservations recorded.
7/13 - 1019
7/14 - 1935
7/15 - 533
7/16 - 297
Total: 3784 reservations or 64% are made within the first 4 days. (sorry, I was stupidly looking at 7/13-7/16 as 3 days, doh)
You could break this down more if you wanted...
7/13 - 17%
7/14 - 33%
7/15 - 1%
7/16 - .5%
So take the total reservation number and you can apply the percentages about to figure out how many were made on what day.
Like I said, 5898 is a really big data set. I'm fairly confident Ford is seeing the same kind of numbers on their end.
**again, my only caveat is it's probably a good idea to lower these percentages by a few points since there's probably a larger number of ppl here who would've reserved in the first few days.
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