Deadly Sin Order Volume and Percent

Blksn955.o

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Using the Order data and the deadly order sins...there are some people that if they have not already come to grips with odds of getting a 2021.

Out of 2802 orders on the order conversion post.

Counting deadly sins as 2 door, Model (Wildtrak), 2.7L engine, Sasquatch, Lux package, Painted Mod top, and lastly dual top. That is 6 possible items (not counting leather as that is not in the conversion data). So there are 7 sins in my count with a max of 6 as you cant select dual tops and mod top in the order data.

0 sin = 213 or 7.6%
1 sin = 597 or 21.31%
2 sins = 643 or 22.95%
3 sins = 711 or 25.37%
4 sins = 466 or 16.63%
5 sins = 156 or 5.57%
6 sins = 16 or 0.57%

Average # of sins is 2.411

With the number of people in the order conversion noting they are getting a 2021 that was in the high 90% range there looks to be some level setting or at least expectation of reality that might need to be thought about.

I am not judging or saying one should not order what they want in their build...just the numbers of those who have a sin is going to push a LOT of people to 22 and there are probably a lot not thinking of that reality yet.





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Trueblue2296

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You are aware none of these actually push your order to MY22. That’s only speculation. Ford has stated it could lead to delays as these are the more popular items. None have been officially confirmed as late availability or MY22 outside of the modular hard tops and now dual tops.
 
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Blksn955.o

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Delay, late availability, by September...

Currently it is like you say a delay, how long and with how many delay items will have a greater potential to push to a MY22.
 
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Blksn955.o

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Who cares, I would rather order what I want and wait than to order something I really don't want :cool: YMMV

Agree 100% just not sure with the number of delay items or commodity constraints volume some people are going to be shocked when the writing is on the wall.
 

Felix808

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Agree 100% just not sure with the number of delay items or commodity constraints volume some people are going to be shocked when the writing is on the wall.
I see you point with the impatient types. Besides the longer I wait the more time the aftermarket has to catch up ;)
 

tyrobronco

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At (I think it said) 26%, I'm surprised 2-Door is still considered a concern.

50% Sasquatch, is interesting. That is pretty high.

2.7 is the biggie, though. Curious why Automatic Trans isn't given ALL 2.7's AND some 2.3's are getting those. That is the biggest percentage.
 

MorgansRun

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I can understand the frustration, but hopefully when the Broncos start coming into people’s driveways it will be worth the wait.
 

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I am not Catholic but I may need to go to confession
 

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Tops are no longer sins, only MIC and soft top correct? Other tops kick you to 22 if you don’t opt out. Still the same issues with other options, but may change the order of delivery for some. I am super tempted to go 2.3. If I knew my BL and High package weren’t going to be an issue and it was months different I would switch.
 

PSUTE

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If those stats were taken from the posters here, they are at minimum, suspect. We're here for a reason, and are not reflective of the population in general...
 
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Blksn955.o

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yeah, tops for 21 are only MIC and soft. Mod and both is 100% pushing to 22 if you keep that as an option.

At some point I imagine if the commodity constraints are not replenished or replenished fast enough say Sept-Oct range I can see the sins getting pushed out further to a MY 22.

Would be nice to know if Ford had enough for x sins.

Like do they have enough to do 500 or 5,000 Lux packages and 10,000 or 30,000 2.7L?
 
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Blksn955.o

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If those stats were taken from the posters here, they are at minimum, suspect. We're here for a reason, and are not reflective of the population in general...
It still represents a statistically valid sample size. I would wager it is higher on the trim/package ranges just because of the nature of the site being more enthusiasts.
 

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