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After trying to puzzle all the pieces together; the anecdotal walk ins and dealer stock (perhaps using fake retail orders, green and blue window attackers anyone?) getting serviced before identical reservation order stories, the recent Ford email stating they would pause retail orders to prioritize (presumably) reservation orders (with no change in allocation formula to count the existing reservations), the current stated policies of Ford still not prioritizing reservation orders over deal stock, and the worth of the reservation timestamp essentially being a tie breaker of sorts at each individual dealership and it leads me to only one theory that fits.
We know that Ford doesn't consider reservation numbers when allocating builds, but there still should be at least some reservations that can be built at the dealers who are getting more allocations simply because they aren't building that many Broncos. The number of short time order waits seems far too high, meaning the number of stock and walk in orders reportedly getting filled/scheduled on this forum alone in a few months seems statistically improbable in the extreme.
They shouldn't be getting scheduled that fast if reservations took priority in all allocations at each dealer. Again, only one working theory of which I can fit all the pieces; the reservation orders are initially automatically set at code 19 and the timestamp breaks that down to the individual order as the production priority, however since Ford went back to the traditional allocating system after the initial bait and switch reservation system, we have all assumed they didn't go all the way back, that the reservation orders have priority in all cases. I do not believe that is true. I think Ford went all the way back to the old system and the dealer priority codes trump the reservation timestamps if the dealer puts in a lower priority code. That if a dealer has all orders set at the same code, using 19 for example, the reservations get scheduled first (and there is nothing that says they are in Ford's policies, but we assume), but if the dealer uses a code like 10 on a walk in order or fake retail order for stock, they would get looked at before any reservation order sitting at 19. That would explain it all; short waits for some very late orders at certain dealerships, the emails from Ford make sense, etc.
It would give a dealer the ability to push orders they deem more important to the front of the line at that dealership and there is no doubt in anyone's mind that the dealers were screaming for that ability as they were used to having it before the reservation system was started, would just be going back to the traditional allocation system that allowed it.
In any event, that is my theory, some dealers are giving walk in orders a higher build priority (lower number codes) than the reservation orders at that dealer and Ford is treating it as a higher build priority than a timestamp order at that dealer. It wraps all the information up in a neat package, even all the tiny little nagging things that didn't make sense that I didn't bother listing (a way to statistically game the name match percentage among others)
Please prove me wrong or tell me another theory that works with everything because it is extremely discouraging to think this is the case for the reservation order holders at some dealers. (and a further betrayal of Ford's reservations promises if they allow it.) Sadly, it just makes the most sense to me.
We know that Ford doesn't consider reservation numbers when allocating builds, but there still should be at least some reservations that can be built at the dealers who are getting more allocations simply because they aren't building that many Broncos. The number of short time order waits seems far too high, meaning the number of stock and walk in orders reportedly getting filled/scheduled on this forum alone in a few months seems statistically improbable in the extreme.
They shouldn't be getting scheduled that fast if reservations took priority in all allocations at each dealer. Again, only one working theory of which I can fit all the pieces; the reservation orders are initially automatically set at code 19 and the timestamp breaks that down to the individual order as the production priority, however since Ford went back to the traditional allocating system after the initial bait and switch reservation system, we have all assumed they didn't go all the way back, that the reservation orders have priority in all cases. I do not believe that is true. I think Ford went all the way back to the old system and the dealer priority codes trump the reservation timestamps if the dealer puts in a lower priority code. That if a dealer has all orders set at the same code, using 19 for example, the reservations get scheduled first (and there is nothing that says they are in Ford's policies, but we assume), but if the dealer uses a code like 10 on a walk in order or fake retail order for stock, they would get looked at before any reservation order sitting at 19. That would explain it all; short waits for some very late orders at certain dealerships, the emails from Ford make sense, etc.
It would give a dealer the ability to push orders they deem more important to the front of the line at that dealership and there is no doubt in anyone's mind that the dealers were screaming for that ability as they were used to having it before the reservation system was started, would just be going back to the traditional allocation system that allowed it.
In any event, that is my theory, some dealers are giving walk in orders a higher build priority (lower number codes) than the reservation orders at that dealer and Ford is treating it as a higher build priority than a timestamp order at that dealer. It wraps all the information up in a neat package, even all the tiny little nagging things that didn't make sense that I didn't bother listing (a way to statistically game the name match percentage among others)
Please prove me wrong or tell me another theory that works with everything because it is extremely discouraging to think this is the case for the reservation order holders at some dealers. (and a further betrayal of Ford's reservations promises if they allow it.) Sadly, it just makes the most sense to me.
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