Day 1 Reservation Holder Poll - Did you receive a build date?

[DeltaBravo]

this has been the only comforting thread

8 more people vote and we can apply a surety to the sample.

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[Werkedperformance]

16 of 180. I would say thats a reasonable sample out of 190k original reservations. Not sure how ford is doing this but theyre not doing any of us early reservation holders a huge favor.


for 190k reservations....


Required Sample size: 208

This means 208 or more measurements/surveys are needed to have a confidence level of 85% that the real value is within ±5% of the measured/surveyed value.

TLDR: I am trying to use the scientific method to apply some validity to the poll vs sample size given the original 190K reservations.

i like this guy. hes logically justifying my sadness.

 

[MacDonald_Photo]

Day #1 and.....Nope

 

[DeltaBravo]

So we can use the information we have presently.... If everyone answered honestly, to state there is an 85% surety that of 190,000 reservations the numbers listed above is a sample with a +/- 5% accuracy.

The bad news is we can not validate that everyone who voted is a day 1 reservation holder.
The good news is since we are using the original 190K as opposed to the 68% of conversions (or 129,200) we can use the difference to ensure the numbers are more accurate.

at 272 votes, we would have a 90% surety.

TLDR: Science bitches.

Edit: if someone's smarter or more well versed in this please check my work.

 

[1IH]

So we can use the information we have presently.... If everyone answered honestly, to state there is an 85% surety that of 190,000 reservations the numbers listed above is a sample with a +/- 5% accuracy.

The bad news is we can not validate that everyone who voted is a day 1 reservation holder.
The good news is since we are using the original 190K as opposed to the 68% of conversions (or 129,200) we can use the difference to ensure the numbers are more accurate.

at 272 votes, we would have a 90% surety.

TLDR: Science bitches.

Edit: if someone's smarter or more well versed in this please check my work.

I can prove I’m a day 1 res and I voted if it matters.

 

[Ween]

7/13 9:03 PM CT
2 DR BD Nonsquatch
2.7L Standard 4X4
FordPass email only!

 

[DeltaBravo]

I can prove I’m a day 1 res and I voted if it matters.

ive Been drinking whiskey and this is all napkin math. Anyways I think we can say with confidence there are a lot of day 1 reservation holders without email updates. Like... A LOT

 

[Daktari]

night one reservation (no idea what time, when ever the website worked again and I got through).

CO Badlands, sashquatch, 2.7, auto, MIC, Lux, tow. Lots of commodity issue items. Didn't really expect to get a build date(range) today with that selection. Just hope I'll get it sometime in summer.

Don't know what # in line I'm at my dealer or how many orders they have, they never told me when I asked via e-mail. Only spoke to the sales guy once when he placed my order, never been inside that dealer.

How does one get to be a priority order? Hand some cash to your dealer? Be some celebrity?
My last order preview from the dealer shows my priority code as 10, what ever that means.

 

[GeorgeFromDallas]

Day 1, Hour 2.

2-Door, BL, Sas, 2.7 auto, Lux, MGV
...no email - maybe next week?

Good luck everyone.

 

[IamtheBruce]

Results are making me feel better. Unless all the NOs are on 6G searching for answers while the YESs are out getting drunk in celebration

I hadn't considered that possibility, and now that I am I'm less please and more inclined to go out and get drunk. First day order, 4DR BL non squatch, no email.

 

[Fatdaddy]

No build email. Only FordPass email.
- Wildtrak; A51, Leather, High pckg, MIC top, mod bumper and full bash plates, towing.
-7/13 10:10pm CST reservation.
-Priority code 13

 

[Ranger6G]

OBX Week of 6/7 Build! Late 7/14 Reservation. Looks like I'm the top 3%er. It's gonna be the best summer ever with new Bronco! Thank you Ford for picking my order!

(*OBX base no options)

 

[bhp2076]

For those with a “night of reveal” reservation (maybe early the following morning counts), did you receive a confirmation email with a build date?

Please don’t respond if...
1. you for some reason received a confirmation email on your build and you weren’t a Day 1. For example if you have Priority 1
2. Picked something with a known delay (mod top)

Thanks!

I received my e-mail with June 7 build date. Didn’t get in night of reveal but made reservation about 9:00 first morning. My reservation was first one at small town dealership. My order is 4 door OB with 2.7 and high package.

 

[Jedi2.0]

They must have sorted the list desc vs asc from the set of allocated MY 21 reservations. Wouldn’t surprise me, Ford couldn’t keep the website up during launch night.

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