Deleted member 10201
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Not sure this has been mentioned here but figured I would look at a statistical distribution of the reservations rather than the numerical sequence which was previously mentioned as being randomized. I copied and pasted the registration spreadsheet into excel and used the previous news from Ford of having 150k reservations. If you assume the distribution of the reservations in this group is the same across the country then you can estimate the daily hourly reservation rate. This would allow you to get a fairly good estimate of where you stand in the fulfillment sequence. Here is an example
Date | Number or reservations | Percent of total | Number from national reservations | Res/Hr |
7/13/2020 | 772 | 29.6% | 44453 | 7409 |
7/14/2020 | 956 | 36.7% | 55048 | 2294 |
7/15/2020 | 252 | 9.7% | 14511 | 605 |
7/16/2020 | 134 | 5.1% | 7716 | 321 |
7/17/2020 | 88 | 3.4% | 5067 | 211 |
7/18/2020 | 55 | 2.1% | 3167 | 132 |
7/19/2020 | 71 | 2.7% | 4088 | 170 |
7/20/2020 | 43 | 1.7% | 2476 | 103 |
7/21/2020 | 32 | 1.2% | 1843 | 77 |
7/22/2020 | 26 | 1.0% | 1497 | 62 |
7/23/2020 | 36 | 1.4% | 2073 | 86 |
7/24/2020 | 31 | 1.2% | 1785 | 74 |
7/25/2020 | 33 | 1.3% | 1900 | 79 |
7/26/2020 | 21 | 0.8% | 1209 | 50 |
7/27/2020 | 16 | 0.6% | 921 | 38 |
7/28/2020 | 17 | 0.7% | 979 | 41 |
7/29/2020 | 13 | 0.5% | 749 | 31 |
7/30/2020 | 9 | 0.3% | 518 | 22 |
7/31/2020 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 |
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