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Delivery Reality

shoelessjoe

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I hope Ford gives us delivery estimates before we order the car. Currently I don't have a car, & my lease ends summer next year.

If Ford delays my car into Q4 or beyond, I'm not buying it.
They might give you an estimate but I would say it might only be within a month or two but not to the week or day. If there are any hiccups with suppliers or the assembly line that will push back deliveries more.
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Tonka Bronka

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Thanks, but with all due respect, I see no mention of a window or waiting on anyone to get their marbles back in their sock. This parade will march on when it starts and if you want a Bronco in 2021 be ready to step up or be left behind is all I’m saying.
 

Idiosyncratic

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Thanks, but with all due respect, I see no mention of a window or waiting on anyone to get their marbles back in their sock. This parade will march on when it starts and if you want a Bronco in 2021 be ready to step up or be left behind is all I’m saying.
I totally agree with you about the parade marching on. Ford is not going to hold up production for anyone. As far as the window I’m pretty sure that I read that on here I may be misinformed
 

shieldsy

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A couple of comments from my perspective...

Conversion from reservations to true orders would be extraordinary at even 20-30%. I don't think it will be as high as 50%.

Yes, customer orders will be prioritized but simultaneously Ford will be building and delivering dealer orders. It won't be all customer orders, then dealer orders. Maybe something like 80/20 at the beginning (favoring customer orders).
Ford is on record as stating they will build all customer orders before dealer stock.

The conversion rate of reservations to orders is going to be interesting. If dealerships are not requiring any additional skin in the game for converting a reservation into an order than $100...I could see a lot of people ordering and then backing out next year before delivery. Exactly what a lot of dealers are hoping for I would imagine. Dealers should be trying hard to talk people out of canceling their order.
 

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I personally do not think reservation number will have anything to do with order or especially delivery time line. Lets just say the person with reservation #1 says “just a second while I get everything in order”. Do you think anyone is going to wait on this guy! No way No how is that happening. They have trucks to build and sell!
You can think what you want, but you would be incorrect. Ford will open up a window of time to order, prior to the beginning of production. No one is waiting on anything here....this will be before production:

From their FAQ's:
When can I order my vehicle?
You will be notified prior to when the vehicle’s ordering window opens to finalize and confirm your configuration and agree on pricing with your dealer.

Then they will submit all orders and produce in order of reservation.

Again from their FAQ's:
Will reservations be fulfilled in the order placed?
Reservations will be fulfilled in approximately the same order received, based on final ordering and production of similarly configured Broncos. All reservations will be completed before production of stock units begins.


This is not the first time Ford has done this....and people have a good understanding of how it goes.

1) They open a window to order, of a minimum of two weeks. This will be in December in this case. No need to rush, just get your order in.
2) All orders are sent in for production scheduling.
3) Then a couple of months later, orders start being built in order of reservation, with some variability based on trim level and batching.
 

ATXGuy

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I'm on the fence. I just another toy and am unsure if i can get rid of something in time to make room for the Bronco. I may cancel and that is one less person on the books!

I saw someone earlier posted a thread about purchasing a Tacoma. I think there will be quite a large number of cancellations.
 

BellyRat

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As a point of reference, according to several online sources Ford has sold an average of 900,000 F150s per year for the last 3 years. it takes aprox. 20 hours to build an F150. Ford runs 2 assembly lines for the F150 and each line produces 1 new truck at an average of every 53 seconds. Assuming a 24 hour a day, 7 day a week operation that's 2880 new trucks per day, or approximately 86,400 per month.

Given those numbers I dont believe its unrealistic to assume that Ford can produce 25,000 Broncos a month...so you can do the math from there.
 
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ColoradoGuy

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I'm on the fence. I just another toy and am unsure if i can get rid of something in time to make room for the Bronco. I may cancel and that is one less person on the books!

I saw someone earlier posted a thread about purchasing a Tacoma. I think there will be quite a large number of cancellations.
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Johnny Mo

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As a point of reference, according to several online sources Ford has sold an average of 900,000 F150s per year for the last 3 years. it takes aprox. 20 hours to build an F150. Ford runs 2 assembly lines for the F150 and each line produces 1 new truck at an average of every 53 seconds. Assuming a 24 hour a day, 7 day a week operation that's 2880 new trucks per day, or approximately 86,400 per month.

Given those numbers I dont believe its unrealistic to assume that Ford can produce 25,000 Broncos a month...so you can do the math from there.
I think there's only a slight difference is the number of custom orders (Bronco) vs dealer stock (F150) orders. They will still have to figure out a way to rack and stack the similar production runs together and where things branch off for different engine/trans/sasquatch etc. so that all the lines are constantly full - that may cause some slowdown or limitations on full production capacity where options and trim levels are passing thru the line in an optimized fashion.
 

tlowell01

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5 Dealership size/ number of orders. - not a huge factor but if your ordering a bronco from BFE dealership it might take A little longer than city center mega dealer.
I honestly think this is more of an impact than most people think. Ford isn't Tesla; Ford doesn't deal direct to consumers. It goes through dealerships, and it has to keep dealerships content too. There is going to be some production algorithm that balances production batches, reservation number, geographic diversity, relative dealer sales volume, and probably another 500 variables I can't think of.

These forums are going the EXPLODE in anger when someone at the 15% of reservations gets delivery before someone at 5% because of some combination of factors in that algorithm.

I'll have the popcorn ready because its going to get wild!
 

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I think the least popular models will get filled faster than a Base, Black Diamond or Badlands. Wait and see, it will happen. I reserved a Badlands so I will be lucky if I get it in 2021
 

ZackDanger

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I think the least popular models will get filled faster than a Base, Black Diamond or Badlands. Wait and see, it will happen. I reserved a Badlands so I will be lucky if I get it in 202
I figured it would be the opposite. They would fulfill the kitted-out Badlands/Wildtracks/FEs first so people see those rolling around in the streets and then decide they want one too.

If it’s all Base models or weirdly optioned, people are going to say “that’s what all the hype was about?” and go test drive a Rubicon that’s already sitting on the lot.
 

Broncocito

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I figured it would be the opposite. They would fulfill the kitted-out Badlands/Wildtracks/FEs first so people see those rolling around in the streets and then decide they want one too.

If it’s all Base models or weirdly optioned, people are going to say “that’s what all the hype was about?” and go test drive a Rubicon that’s already sitting on the lot.
That does make sense, but then again we really do not know. I like your idea!!!!
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