I spoke with the GM of Ted Britt Ford here in VA yesterday for awhile and he said Ford is freaking out about all of the "leaks" that the forums know about. He was talking to people there who couldn't believe we knew the delays were due to the tops before they announced it.
Thanks for the knowledge. At 26 weeks - not counting the "Saturday builds" that the other comment suggested - that's 6k Broncos a week for 26 weeks, or 156,000 Broncos in 2021. That equals your 80% reservation conversion rate on 190k reservations right there. Now factor in supply issues... So yea best case scenario, based on what we know right now, assuming an 80% conversion rate, looks like this should spill a month or two (or more depending on supply issues) into 2022 guys...
I had a co-worker (trades contractor) who shut down an auto plant (maybe only for an hour or so) because he dropped a wrench into the line. That doesn't seem like a long time but likely stopped a number cars from being built during that hour and getting the line running again. So simple things like that plus any commodities shortage with a just-in-time system and it's not hard ti imagine shut downs.
Yeah, the real wildcard seems to be the dealership allotment. I can see this being the biggest issue being that the ones offering X-plan or some other discount will have more orders and allotment constraints could hit them the worst. I'm already planning a FE....thats going to be a FE22 (First Edition 2022).?‍
On top of that, I was already willing to wait for "Late Availability" for the painted Black Hardtop.......who knows, FE23???
i'm imagining that they listened to the MBA types who assumed no more than a 5% take rate for manuals and put out a contract to Getrag for only 1500 manual transmissions. oops.
several forum members have opined just the opposite...."too many dipsticks" on this launch
I know we’re laughable, but can we get your expert opinion on the issues? With your experience at Ford, can you give us your opinion on the launch? Is this a big launch (# of reservations) compared to past new vehicle launches? Realistically, how many Broncos do you think Ford can produce in six months in 2021, COVID or not? I understand it’s hard to opine on it with missing dipsticks and wrench droppings and what have you, but can you give any guestimation on the total MY21 Broncos? Any thoughts on what the conversion rate may be? How hard is it to handle supply issues?
During the new model Expedition launch, we were faced with numerous hurdles, from lack of parts availability, to issues with body construction (water intrusion into the cab around the liftgate). Our shop (body construction) is engineered to run at about the same line speed as MAP's. Ramp up to full production speed (at the time was 26ish an hour) took us about a month. First 2 or 3 weeks, we'd build maybe 26 a day if we were lucky. Most of the delays were due to final assembly, either parts shortages (our suppliers also had to adjust as we needed them to, which caused more delay), or adjusting the assembly processes or order of processes.
I think that’s mostly correct. i Think it more comes into play in you getting the same one as other people. Guessing it might be a longer wait for some Badlands Squatches then a base
