- Joined
- Jul 14, 2020
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- Location
- California
- Vehicle(s)
- Jeep Wrangler JKUR
- Your Bronco Model
- Wildtrak
Ok so two different things. To Warranty or not to Warranty is one thing. I'm with you, I have never purchased an extended warranty on a vehicle, and hardly ever on anything I bought.You are missing the main issue that one must consider regarding buying an extended warranty....
What is the PROBABILITY that you will experience a major defect after the standard warranty expires? .05 (5%), .01 (1%)? Let's say there's a 2.5% chance you'll have a $10,000 repair bill covered by a $2000 warranty with a $500 deductible.
Case A - no warranty
.975*0 + .025*10,000 = $250
Case B - warranty
$2000 + .025*500 = $2012.50
In this case, you are 8 times better off with no warranty. (2012.5/250=8.05)
Rational people should use probability weighted scenarios when making these types of decisions. Believe me, the folks that are selling warranties are very good at estimating potential future repair costs and the probability they will occur. Their pricing reflects this plus a substantial profit for them. Product defects will generally make themselves known during the factory warranty period (3yrs, 36,000 mi ?). Once the vehicle has made it his far, the probability that a defect hasn't shown itself is low. Personally, I'd never buy an extended warranty, but that's me.
I was addressing the concept that you could take the money you would use to buy the warranty and invest it in a way that would cover major losses later. That's not going to happen.
When it comes to the warranty, this Bronco is a different beast. There have been so many problems from so many people that an extended warranty may actually be a good purchase.
But what I would suggest to everyone, and it has been said, you do not have to buy an extended warranty at the time you pick up your rig. You have 3 years, 36,000 mi to get a feel for the dependability. as it gets closer, if you've had a lot of issues, that's when you think about buying the extended warranty.
Now with that said, investing the original 2K may actually cover the price of buying an extended warranty later down the road since they get more expensive as time goes on.
In a nutshell, my advice, is if you're thinking of buying extended warranty take that money and invest it, and revisit this topic as you get close to your factory warranty ending. Then either use that investment to purchase an extended warranty at a bit higher price then, or let it ride and congrats that your 1st year Bronco didn't give you any grief.
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