- First Name
- Brent
- Joined
- Oct 3, 2020
- Threads
- 10
- Messages
- 1,303
- Reaction score
- 2,733
- Location
- Calgary, AB
- Vehicle(s)
- 2019 F150 Sport, 2021 Bronco Badlands
- Your Bronco Model
- Badlands
Well, I won’t debate you on your battery lifespan claims. My comments come from my studies (6 years) but not from ownership of an EV. Let’s say your lifespan claims are valid and move on.Key REAL truths (I drove Volts for 6 years and I have studied this for over 10 years):
1. Batteries have at least the same lifespan as Internal Combustion Engines (~10 years+). My Volt batteries can also be used for another 10+ in a battery array to provide generator backup for houses.
2. Battery costs are going dramatically DOWN as technology is getting better. No different than what is happening on laptops. The Apple M1 has reduced the entire circuitboard to the size of 2-3 quarters all in one unit. It no longer needs a fan to cool, it is cheaper to produce. It requires less materials. The whole industry is moving this way.
3. Range is more than enough for 95%+ of use cases. Most people don't drive cross country constantly. They drive in a circuit that is within 50 miles of their home and they do not use their vehicle for 8 hour stretches, perfect for plugging in.
4. Big Oil gets exponentially more "tax breaks" ($60,000,000,000 per year) than EVs. If you really want to level the playing field, make oil companies pay for the damage they cause by delivering highly flammable, heavy toxic fuel to 40,000 gas stations, in perhaps the most inefficient and dangerous way imaginable.
5. The battery costs are the same or lower than ICE engine costs.
6. When I drove my Volt, I saved about $2500 in fuel per year. Almost no maintenance. Cost of ownership for an EV was far lower than an ICE vehicle. And you can lease them with rates so low they match conventional vehicles.
7. Are you the guy who called the Internet a "fad". Do you still have a palm pilot/blackberry/flip phone because the iPhone is a "fad"?
As for cost, note that the EV market is approximately 2% of all vehicle sales at this time. To reach any sort of significant market penetration, millions more EVs must be built, meaning trillions more tons of dirt and rock has to be move and processed to source the elements needed for battery production. Chemistry is chemistry, and there is only so much technology can do unless someone discovers impossibilium.
Environmentalists hate mining, and when the fossil fuel focus loses steam they WILL focus on the impacts of mining. The amount of mining needs to jump by several orders of magnitude to meet this theoretical demand. And once the battery life ends (at whatever years lifespan you choose) they are done. There won’t be another round of turning the earth upside-down to replace the batteries consumed. I guess they can dump the waste back into the mine pits, but again, that gets you through one cycle of world conversion to battery power.
But demand will drive price up when supply gets tight, so while batteries may be relatively cheap now, I can’t see that price staying this way. Check out the price of lithium now vs. a year ago and see for yourself - the price has skyrocketed. Same with cobalt and many REEs.
You didn’t talk to the fire hazard of EVs and their unsuitability for underground parking - again, chemistry is chemistry and these batteries are volatile and cannot be extinguished once they ignite.
I won’t talk to your oil subsidy comment because you’ve consumed all you need to know about that topic from mainstream media and the matter is closed in your mind. But, every gallon of gas sold is heavily taxed, and a portion of these taxes is used for creation and maintenance of road infrastructure. Take those ICEs off the roads and you need to replace those taxes by taxing the users of the roads - the EVs. No more free ride.
I do not know how EVs are sustainable, hence I call them a fad. I don’t believe they can exist without subsidies and will remain a vehicle only suitable to the elite.
I am willing to bet your Volt is your second car. Many poor working stiffs can only afford one car, and EVs are not in their budget.
If EVs work for you, enjoy. You could lay off the personal attacks, however - I may respect your opinion more.
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