- First Name
- Jake
- Joined
- Jan 4, 2020
- Threads
- 11
- Messages
- 2,338
- Reaction score
- 7,076
- Location
- various, construction engineer.
- Vehicle(s)
- '13 SLK55 AMG, '15 Indian Chief, '15 WRX
- Your Bronco Model
- Badlands
- Banned
- #46
You are making a fundamental mistake in your assumptions; As you do not know the allocation formula Ford is using to steer production to where they like (and they certainly would not make a formula that did the opposite, all we do know, from a well known and trusted dealer, is that the allocation formula does not use the number of outstanding converted reservations at a dealer as a criteria at all...shows you how much Ford values them), it could be that some favored dealers get far more allocations than they have reservation orders across the Country and that those allocations would be used for high end stock vehicles. This would do two things, well.. three if you count pissing off people who reserved, first; would eat up basic factory capacity and leave less for reservation orders at other dealers. Second; would eat up commodities so even if your dealer allocations came up, they might bypass a reservation build due to lack of commodities, and build a more basic model for dealer stock at that dealer. Which exacerbates the problem even more. I think it is far more likely, even with increasing production levels, that perhaps a quarter of reservation holders are pushed deep into 2023 and beyond.I've been tracking these numbers over time:
...
* If 120,000 of the MY21 reservations were converted to orders (ignoring people dropping off and code 99's) and given 32,000 produced to date (ignoring that some of these are post-March 19 orders) and given 6,200 in dealer stocks, there are about 85,000 MY21 reservations to build. In a perfect world at 8,000 a month, it will take 11 months to clear these.
* Hopefully the monthly build rate grows.
Let's back up to the middle of my missive above for a moment; Ford does not use the number of unfilled reservation orders at a dealer as part of the allocation formula. The place so little value on the reservations they originally claimed were the be all and end all of the process (before they intentionally destroyed that system with allocations which are incompatible with a reservation system) that they don't care enough about the people with them to even consider designing allocations to give an advantage to those who have been waiting in any way whatsoever. Ford is quite clear, their favored dealers will get Bronco's to sell and the rest can get happy about it, that is all they care about. Go read the threads about people trying to switch dealers, it ain't happening. Ford doesn't care about reservationists at all. No way they 'waste' valuable production on getting them all cleared out at the expense of their preferred dealers getting more stock.
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