- First Name
- Jacob
- Joined
- Jul 16, 2020
- Threads
- 85
- Messages
- 4,258
- Reaction score
- 18,665
- Location
- Greenville, SC
- Vehicle(s)
- 2021 Badlands Bronco
- Your Bronco Model
- Badlands
Ford’s allocation method compare to your graphs:
Sponsored
That’s good information and all but I dont think it factors in Micro chip holds. Mine was built 2 weeks ago and is still there on a chip hold. Dirt mountain all over againSo made a few graphs to illustrate when you MIGHT expect YOUR bronco to be built based on when you ordered.
using numbers from how many reservations were made and assuming 70% order rate. Comparing that to production numbers which (fingers crossed) have been hovering around 10k units per month for the last 3 months.
so baring any further delays heres what i got .
first orders by day of reservation (first 30 days)
so as you can see the VAST majority of reservations were the first 24hrs after it went live. So if you reserved yours in that first day. Your in that group. Then a steady decline from there.
Total orders is (roughly) 140,000 units. Cant find any GOOD data on it. But roughly 70k of those were reserved in the first 24 hours or half the total.
now production numbers. (Will be updated Monthly)
View attachment 254714
so based on this data. If you reserved yours within the first 24 hours and HAVENT gotten yours yet, baring any more hiccups, you SHOULD get it by April? Maybe later. Again guestimations. Then if you reserved it in the first week, you should see it by July. Then within the first 30 days you should see it by September. Then if you have an order AT ALL (including if you made it today) you should see it by the end of the year. (By which point there SHOULD be about 175,000 built)
i know thats a LONG time meaning some people will be waiting 24+ months from the time of reservation to delivery. But thats what happens when you have the hottest vehicle in 30 years mixed with a global supply chain issue.
it is important to note that some options may take longer to build than others like
Hardtop vs soft top, 2 door vs 4 door, towing packages etc.
this is just for a rough time line of how long your vehicle MAY take
They are not being built in order of reservations and allocations remain a fundamental driver, added after the fact by @Ford Motor Company, screwing those of us with early reservations. I am not expecting a vehicle this year.Two reactions:
1. where is the reservation date data coming from?
2. I think the major flaw in your projection is the assumption that the builds are being made in order of reservations.. I'm not sure anyone fully understands what is happening in the black box analysis that is producing build dates for specific orders, but it is clear that reservation time stamp is not the single determining variable (or possibly even the most significant one - see the countless threads discussing dealer allocations, changing commodity constraints, etc)
What about dealership allocations, how will that come into play ?So made a few graphs to illustrate when you MIGHT expect YOUR bronco to be built based on when you ordered.
using numbers from how many reservations were made and assuming 70% order rate. Comparing that to production numbers which (fingers crossed) have been hovering around 10k units per month for the last 3 months.
so baring any further delays heres what i got .
first orders by day of reservation (first 30 days)
so as you can see the VAST majority of reservations were the first 24hrs after it went live. So if you reserved yours in that first day. Your in that group. Then a steady decline from there.
Total orders is (roughly) 140,000 units. Cant find any GOOD data on it. But roughly 70k of those were reserved in the first 24 hours or half the total.
now production numbers. (Will be updated Monthly)
View attachment 254714
so based on this data. If you reserved yours within the first 24 hours and HAVENT gotten yours yet, baring any more hiccups, you SHOULD get it by April? Maybe later. Again guestimations. Then if you reserved it in the first week, you should see it by July. Then within the first 30 days you should see it by September. Then if you have an order AT ALL (including if you made it today) you should see it by the end of the year. (By which point there SHOULD be about 175,000 built)
i know thats a LONG time meaning some people will be waiting 24+ months from the time of reservation to delivery. But thats what happens when you have the hottest vehicle in 30 years mixed with a global supply chain issue.
it is important to note that some options may take longer to build than others like
Hardtop vs soft top, 2 door vs 4 door, towing packages etc.
this is just for a rough time line of how long your vehicle MAY take
Sadly you completely wasted your time making this graph.So made a few graphs to illustrate when you MIGHT expect YOUR bronco to be built based on when you ordered.
using numbers from how many reservations were made and assuming 70% order rate. Comparing that to production numbers which (fingers crossed) have been hovering around 10k units per month for the last 3 months.
so baring any further delays heres what i got .
first orders by day of reservation (first 30 days)
so as you can see the VAST majority of reservations were the first 24hrs after it went live. So if you reserved yours in that first day. Your in that group. Then a steady decline from there.
Total orders is (roughly) 140,000 units. Cant find any GOOD data on it. But roughly 70k of those were reserved in the first 24 hours or half the total.
now production numbers. (Will be updated Monthly)
View attachment 254714
so based on this data. If you reserved yours within the first 24 hours and HAVENT gotten yours yet, baring any more hiccups, you SHOULD get it by April? Maybe later. Again guestimations. Then if you reserved it in the first week, you should see it by July. Then within the first 30 days you should see it by September. Then if you have an order AT ALL (including if you made it today) you should see it by the end of the year. (By which point there SHOULD be about 175,000 built)
i know thats a LONG time meaning some people will be waiting 24+ months from the time of reservation to delivery. But thats what happens when you have the hottest vehicle in 30 years mixed with a global supply chain issue.
it is important to note that some options may take longer to build than others like
Hardtop vs soft top, 2 door vs 4 door, towing packages etc.
this is just for a rough time line of how long your vehicle MAY take
Here is how non math PhD individuals can understand Ford process for building ordered broncos.Ford’s allocation method compare to your graphs:
Ford’s allocation method compare to your graphs: