Well, If it says 15% chance of rain, and I'm planning on driving with the top down, playing softball, fishing or camping (especially camping) ... it means that it will 100% rain on me....Not sure if you are joking, but that’s definitely not how a forecast works. It’s a formula based on the likelihood it will rain in the area and the percentage of the forecast area that would be impacted.
https://www.weather.gov/media/pah/WeatherEducation/pop.pdf
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